BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Jacksonville St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 243 Conference: ASUN Record: (6-12) Overall: (13-18) Overall Strength = 17.78
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Home W 17.35 111 48 ZZ 316 ( 0- 1) Shorter -0.00 * 63.00
2 11-14-2022 Away L 11.06 60 67 1 294 ( 12- 20) IL Chicago -6.29 -0.71
3 11-18-2022 Away L 5.52 62 104 1 1 ( 26- 5) Alabama -11.83 * -30.17
4 11-22-2022 Home W 32.93 78 53 1 337 ( 8- 24) Elon 15.58 9.42
5 11-25-2022 Away L 18.69 61 79 1 49 ( 21- 10) New Mexico 1.34 -19.34
6 11-26-2022 Neutral L 14.89 82 86 1 1 222 ( 12- 19) N Colorado -2.47 -1.53
7 11-27-2022 Neutral W 29.75 81 71 1 217 ( 14- 16) N Dakota St 12.40 -2.40
8 12-03-2022 Away W 23.39 63 61 1 237 ( 12- 20) ETSU 6.03 -4.03
9 12-08-2022 Away L -4.77 58 99 1 55 ( 17- 14) Utah -22.13 -18.87
10 12-14-2022 Home W 17.35 97 63 ZZ 162 ( 0- 1) Reinhardt -0.00 * 34.00
11 12-17-2022 Home W 18.40 72 62 1 331 ( 10- 21) Ark Little Rock 1.04 8.96
12 12-21-2022 Away L 25.29 66 71 1 104 ( 18- 15) South Alabama 7.93 -12.93
13 12-27-2022 Home W 17.35 78 73 ZZ 14 ( 0- 1) Georgia SW -0.00 5.00
14 12-30-2022 Home L * 8.62 62 66 1 272 ( 18- 14) North Alabama -8.73 4.73
15 01-02-2023 Away L * 4.86 46 62 1 239 ( 13- 16) Jacksonville -12.49 -3.51
16 01-05-2023 Away L * -0.32 41 75 1 69 ( 26- 7) Liberty -17.68 -16.32
17 01-07-2023 Home L * 0.80 62 75 1 270 ( 15- 18) Bellarmine -16.55 3.55
18 01-12-2023 Home W * 23.24 72 63 1 235 ( 14- 17) North Florida 5.89 3.11
19 01-14-2023 Home L * 8.11 62 68 1 239 ( 13- 16) Jacksonville -9.24 3.24
20 01-19-2023 Away L * 20.37 51 55 1 192 ( 17- 15) Florida Gulf Coast 3.02 -7.02
21 01-21-2023 Away L * 19.24 81 87 1 182 ( 17- 13) Stetson 1.88 -7.88
22 01-26-2023 Home W * 23.72 72 67 1 168 ( 20- 13) Lipscomb 6.37 -1.37
23 01-28-2023 Home W * 24.78 70 53 1 323 ( 9- 22) Austin Peay 7.43 9.57
24 02-02-2023 Away L * 22.57 67 69 1 183 ( 20- 13) Eastern Kentucky 5.22 -7.22
25 02-04-2023 Away L * 13.55 64 71 1 270 ( 15- 18) Bellarmine -3.80 -3.20
26 02-09-2023 Home L * 18.55 52 54 1 145 ( 25- 8) Kennesaw 1.20 -3.20
27 02-11-2023 Away L * 24.30 71 74 1 145 ( 25- 8) Kennesaw 6.95 -9.95
28 02-16-2023 Home W * 23.67 76 69 1 216 ( 17- 15) Queens NC 6.32 0.68
29 02-18-2023 Home L * 2.93 55 79 1 69 ( 26- 7) Liberty -14.43 -9.57
30 02-22-2023 Away W * 43.38 101 71 1 334 ( 9- 22) Central Arkansas 26.03 3.97
31 02-24-2023 Away W * 28.37 92 83 1 272 ( 18- 14) North Alabama 11.02 -2.02
Averages 17.35 69.9 70.3
Best game: 43.38 = 30 point win over Central Arkansas
Worst game: -4.77 = 41 point loss to Utah
Team stdev: 10.58